The exclusion of significant opposition forces, such as the movement led by María Corina Machado, presents substantial risks to the stability and legitimacy of any political settlement. Political science principles suggest that for an agreement to be durable, it must achieve broad societal consensus and include key stakeholders representing various sectors of the electorate.
When major opposition movements are sidelined, the resulting agreement may suffer from a deficit of popular mandate. This lack of inclusivity can lead to increased social polarization and domestic unrest, as large segments of the population may view the process as undemocratic or exclusionary. Without the participation of organized grassroots movements, the implementation of agreed-upon reforms becomes significantly harder due to lack of public buy-in.
Furthermore, international legitimacy may also be compromised. Diplomatic recognition of a political transition often depends on the perceived inclusivity of the negotiation process. If the agreement is viewed as an arrangement between narrow elites rather than a national consensus, it may fail to gain the international support necessary for economic recovery and institutional reconstruction. Consequently, the exclusion of radical voices can transform a potential solution into a source of ongoing political volatility.
